If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 3% | NO: 97%
$578,415 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $578,415 in trading volume with $35,593 in liquidity. The 3% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.03, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 3290% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.97, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 3% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 3%, there may be a trading opportunity.