Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address is equal to in length or longer than the specified number of minutes. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 50% | NO: 100%
$274,174 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 24, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 5,483 trades. The current price of 50¢ implies a 50% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 50%, there may be a trading opportunity.