All Outcomes
6 candidates1the US confirm that aliens exist
5.5%
2the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30
2.5%
Volume
$63.6M
Liquidity
$781,810
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 6% | NO: 95%
$63.6M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 1,272,112 trades. The current price of 6¢ implies a 6% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $63.6M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 6 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think the US confirm that aliens exist will win, you can buy YES shares at 5.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 1718% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.