YES
16.5%
$0.17 per share
NO
83.5%
$0.83 per share
Volume
$10.1M
Liquidity
$1.3M
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 17% | NO: 84%
$10.1M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 202,945 trades. The current price of 17¢ implies a 17% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $10.1M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.17, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 506% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.83, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 20% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 17%, there may be a trading opportunity.