This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 3% | NO: 97%
$2.4M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 48,647 trades. The current price of 3¢ implies a 3% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $2.4M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.03, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 3822% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.97, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 3% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 3%, there may be a trading opportunity.