All Outcomes
3 candidates1the US officially declare war on Iran by December
5.5%
Volume
$7.6M
Liquidity
$94,822
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 6% | NO: 95%
$7.6M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 152,140 trades. The current price of 6¢ implies a 6% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $7.6M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 3 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think the US officially declare war on Iran by December will win, you can buy YES shares at 5.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 1718% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.