YES
11.5%
$0.12 per share
NO
88.5%
$0.89 per share
Volume
$146,070
Liquidity
$44,513
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 12% | NO: 89%
$146,070 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 2,921 trades. The current price of 12¢ implies a 12% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.12, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 770% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.89, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 13% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 12%, there may be a trading opportunity.