YES
22.1%
$0.22 per share
NO
77.9%
$0.78 per share
Volume
$6.2M
Liquidity
$11,384
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 22% | NO: 78%
$6.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 124,765 trades. The current price of 22¢ implies a 22% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $6.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.22, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 352% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.78, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 28% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 22%, there may be a trading opportunity.