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© 2026 Insider Trade Flow. Not financial advice. All data sourced from public SEC filings, 13F reports, and Polymarket.
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Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Ends Nov 7, 2028Other
YES
0.7%
$0.01 per share
NO
99.4%
$0.99 per share
Volume
$41.8M
Liquidity
$1.7M
24h Trades
0
Whale Trades
0

24h Flow Analysis

Buy Flow: $0Sell Flow: $0
Flow Imbalance0.0%
⚖️ Neutral flow - balanced buying and selling

Track This Market

Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds?

YES: 1% | NO: 99%

How much volume has been traded?

$41.8M total volume

What is the market sentiment?

Neutral - balanced flow

When does this market end?

Nov 7, 2028

About This Market

This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 1% probability has been shaped by $41.8M in trading activity.

What's Driving the Odds

High Volume: With $41.8M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.

How to Trade This Market

Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.01, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 15285% return.

Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.99, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1% return.

Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 1%, there may be a trading opportunity.