YES
1.3%
$0.01 per share
NO
98.8%
$0.99 per share
Volume
$20.2M
Liquidity
$417,830
24h Trades
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 1% | NO: 99%
$20.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Nov 7, 2028
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 1% probability has been shaped by $20.2M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $20.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.01, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 7900% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.99, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 1%, there may be a trading opportunity.