This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 11% | NO: 89%
$28.5M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 569,853 trades. The current price of 11¢ implies a 11% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $28.5M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.11, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 777% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.89, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 13% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 11%, there may be a trading opportunity.