The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 25% | NO: 75%
$283,522 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 15, 2026
Sports prediction markets often incorporate real-time information faster than traditional betting lines. This market has attracted $283,522 in trading volume. The 25% probability reflects the current market consensus based on all available information.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.25, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 304% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.75, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 33% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 25%, there may be a trading opportunity.