This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between February 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 29% | NO: 71%
$291,338 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 3, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 5,826 trades. The current price of 29¢ implies a 29% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 4 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
This is a multi-outcome market with 11 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from Feb will win, you can buy YES shares at 29.1¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 243% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.