This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 11% | NO: 90%
$348,914 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 6,978 trades. The current price of 11¢ implies a 11% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.10, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 852% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.90, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 12% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 11%, there may be a trading opportunity.