All Outcomes
9 candidates1the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisi
98.4%
2the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decision
1.1%
3the Fed decide differently in the next three decis
0.5%
Volume
$508,285
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 98% | NO: 2%
$508,285 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 29, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 10,165 trades. The current price of 98¢ implies a 98% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 9 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisi will win, you can buy YES shares at 98.4¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 2% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.