All Outcomes
8 candidates1Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting
61.0%
2Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting
50.3%
3Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting
36.5%
4Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting
21.5%
5Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 61% | NO: 39%
$1.4M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 17, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 27,340 trades. The current price of 61¢ implies a 61% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.4M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 8 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting will win, you can buy YES shares at 61.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 64% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.