YES
16.0%
$0.16 per share
NO
84.0%
$0.84 per share
Volume
$869,013
Liquidity
$41,798
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 16% | NO: 84%
$869,013 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 9, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 17,380 trades. The current price of 16¢ implies a 16% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.16, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 525% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.84, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 19% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 16%, there may be a trading opportunity.