YES
56.5%
$0.56 per share
NO
43.5%
$0.43 per share
Volume
$8.0M
Liquidity
$289,049
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 56% | NO: 44%
$8.0M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 9, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 159,078 trades. The current price of 56¢ implies a 56% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $8.0M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.56, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 77% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.43, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 130% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 56%, there may be a trading opportunity.