All Outcomes
7 candidates1French election called by June 30, 2026
5.1%
Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$9,483
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 5% | NO: 95%
$1.1M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2025
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 5% probability has been shaped by $1.1M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $1.1M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 7 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think French election called by June 30, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 5.1¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 1861% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.