YES
47.5%
$0.47 per share
NO
52.5%
$0.53 per share
Volume
$2.8M
Liquidity
$127,938
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 48% | NO: 53%
$2.8M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 56,818 trades. The current price of 48¢ implies a 48% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $2.8M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.47, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 111% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.53, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 90% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 48%, there may be a trading opportunity.