YES
16.5%
$0.17 per share
NO
83.5%
$0.83 per share
Volume
$17.1M
Liquidity
$295,245
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 17% | NO: 84%
$17.1M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 17% probability has been shaped by $17.1M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $17.1M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.17, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 506% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.83, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 20% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 17%, there may be a trading opportunity.