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© 2026 Insider Trade Flow. Not financial advice. All data sourced from public SEC filings, 13F reports, and Polymarket.
Polymarket/Parent For Derivative

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ends Mar 31, 2026Parent For DerivativeResolved:
YES
100.0%
$1.00 per share
NO
50.0%
$0.50 per share
Volume
$63.2M
Liquidity
$0
24h Trades
0
Whale Trades
0

24h Flow Analysis

Buy Flow: $0Sell Flow: $0
Flow Imbalance0.0%
⚖️ Neutral flow - balanced buying and selling

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds?

YES: 100% | NO: 50%

How much volume has been traded?

$63.2M total volume

What is the market sentiment?

Neutral - balanced flow

When does this market end?

Mar 31, 2026

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About This Market

This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 1,264,773 trades. The current price of 100¢ implies a 100% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.

What's Driving the Odds

High Volume: With $63.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.

How to Trade This Market

Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.

Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.

Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 100%, there may be a trading opportunity.