All Outcomes
3 candidates1Macron out by June 30, 2026
3.5%
Volume
$1.8M
Liquidity
$31,045
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 4% | NO: 97%
$1.8M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 30, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 36,511 trades. The current price of 4¢ implies a 4% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.8M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 3 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Macron out by June 30, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 3.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 2757% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.