All Outcomes
42 candidates1One Battle After Another
75.5%
2Sinners
14.5%
3Hamnet
4.5%
4Marty Supreme
2.5%
5The Secret Agent
1.1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 76% | NO: 25%
$18.5M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 15, 2026
Sports prediction markets often incorporate real-time information faster than traditional betting lines. This market has attracted $18.5M in trading volume. The 76% probability reflects the current market consensus based on all available information.
High Volume: With $18.5M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 42 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think One Battle After Another will win, you can buy YES shares at 75.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 32% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.