YES
36.5%
$0.36 per share
NO
63.5%
$0.64 per share
Volume
$10.5M
Liquidity
$519,837
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 37% | NO: 64%
$10.5M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $10.5M in trading volume with $519,837 in liquidity. The 37% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $10.5M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.36, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 174% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.64, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 57% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 37%, there may be a trading opportunity.