YES
31.5%
$0.32 per share
NO
68.5%
$0.69 per share
Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$28,430
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 32% | NO: 69%
$1.1M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 30, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 21,908 trades. The current price of 32¢ implies a 32% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.1M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.32, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 217% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.69, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 46% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 32%, there may be a trading opportunity.