YES
13.0%
$0.13 per share
NO
87.0%
$0.87 per share
Volume
$518,043
Liquidity
$27,965
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 13% | NO: 87%
$518,043 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 10,360 trades. The current price of 13¢ implies a 13% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.13, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 669% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.87, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 15% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 13%, there may be a trading opportunity.