All Outcomes
21 candidates1the Fed’s lower bound
100.0%
2the Fed’s lower bound
92.5%
3the Fed’s lower bound
82.0%
4the Fed’s lower bound
51.0%
5the Fed’s lower bound
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 100% | NO: 50%
$658,759 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 13,175 trades. The current price of 100¢ implies a 100% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 21 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think the Fed’s lower bound will win, you can buy YES shares at 100.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 0% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.