All Outcomes
10 candidates1Hong Wang
77.5%
2Jacob Tsimerman
65.0%
3Jack Thorne
44.5%
4Yu Deng
39.5%
5Sam Raskin
38.5%
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 78% | NO: 23%
$284,622 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jul 30, 2026
Sports prediction markets often incorporate real-time information faster than traditional betting lines. This market has attracted $284,622 in trading volume. The 78% probability reflects the current market consensus based on all available information.
This is a multi-outcome market with 10 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Hong Wang will win, you can buy YES shares at 77.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 29% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.