On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299 This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 2% | NO: 98%
$2.5M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 30, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $2.5M in trading volume with $66,905 in liquidity. The 2% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $2.5M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.02, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 4445% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.98, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 2% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 2%, there may be a trading opportunity.