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© 2026 Insider Trade Flow. Not financial advice. All data sourced from public SEC filings, 13F reports, and Polymarket.
Polymarket/Middle East

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ends Mar 31, 2026Middle EastResolved:
YES
50.0%
$0.50 per share
NO
100.0%
$1.00 per share
Volume
$5.0M
Liquidity
$0
24h Trades
0
Whale Trades
0

24h Flow Analysis

Buy Flow: $0Sell Flow: $0
Flow Imbalance0.0%
⚖️ Neutral flow - balanced buying and selling

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds?

YES: 50% | NO: 100%

How much volume has been traded?

$5.0M total volume

What is the market sentiment?

Neutral - balanced flow

When does this market end?

Mar 31, 2026

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About This Market

Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $5.0M in trading volume with $0 in liquidity. The 50% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.

What's Driving the Odds

High Volume: With $5.0M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.

How to Trade This Market

Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.

Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.

Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 50%, there may be a trading opportunity.