All Outcomes
6 candidates1Khamenei leave Iran by December 31
19.0%
2Khamenei leave Iran by March 31
6.5%
3Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026
0.5%
Volume
$7.5M
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by January 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 19% | NO: 81%
$7.5M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jan 9, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 150,447 trades. The current price of 19¢ implies a 19% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $7.5M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 6 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Khamenei leave Iran by December 31 will win, you can buy YES shares at 19.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 426% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.