YES
0.5%
$0.01 per share
NO
99.5%
$0.99 per share
Volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$27,695
24h Trades
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 1% | NO: 99%
$1.4M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 28, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 27,164 trades. The current price of 1¢ implies a 1% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.4M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 2 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.01, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 18082% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.99, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 1%, there may be a trading opportunity.