This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 5% | NO: 95%
$658,254 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 30, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 13,165 trades. The current price of 5¢ implies a 5% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.05, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1880% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.95, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 5% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 5%, there may be a trading opportunity.