All Outcomes
8 candidates1Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31
7.0%
Volume
$4.1M
Liquidity
$13,018
24h Trades
0
On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 7% | NO: 93%
$4.1M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jan 1, 2027
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 81,362 trades. The current price of 7¢ implies a 7% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $4.1M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 8 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31 will win, you can buy YES shares at 7.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 1329% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.