All Outcomes
2 candidates1Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15
47.0%
2Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1
1.5%
Volume
$496,488
Liquidity
$39,386
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 47% | NO: 53%
$496,488 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
May 15, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $496,488 in trading volume with $39,386 in liquidity. The 47% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
This is a multi-outcome market with 2 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15 will win, you can buy YES shares at 47.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 113% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.