This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 9% | NO: 92%
$864,898 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 30, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 17,297 trades. The current price of 9¢ implies a 9% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 4 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 8.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 1076% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.