All Outcomes
36 candidates1Balendra “Balen” Shah
55.0%
2Gagan Kumar Thapa
37.5%
3KP Sharma Oli
4.5%
4Harka Sampang
2.1%
5Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”)
1.8%
Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 55% | NO: 45%
$313,972 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 5, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 6,279 trades. The current price of 55¢ implies a 55% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 5 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
This is a multi-outcome market with 36 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Balendra “Balen” Shah will win, you can buy YES shares at 55.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 82% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.