This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 22% | NO: 79%
$2.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
May 31, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $2.2M in trading volume with $57,508 in liquidity. The 22% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $2.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.21, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 365% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.79, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 27% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 22%, there may be a trading opportunity.