This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 59% | NO: 41%
$281,320 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 2, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 5,626 trades. The current price of 59¢ implies a 59% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 22 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 p will win, you can buy YES shares at 59.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 69% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.