All Outcomes
5 candidates1Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by
53.0%
2Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by
40.0%
Volume
$509,877
Liquidity
$4,657
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 53% | NO: 47%
$509,877 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2025
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $509,877 in trading volume with $4,657 in liquidity. The 53% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
This is a multi-outcome market with 5 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by will win, you can buy YES shares at 53.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 89% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.