All Outcomes
3 candidates1the Kharg Island oil terminal
21.0%
2the Kharg Island oil terminal
5.5%
Volume
$1.8M
Liquidity
$30,599
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 21% | NO: 79%
$1.8M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 35,938 trades. The current price of 21¢ implies a 21% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.8M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 3 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think the Kharg Island oil terminal will win, you can buy YES shares at 21.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 376% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.