All Outcomes
5 candidates1Tisza
92.5%
2Tisza
87.5%
3Tisza
83.0%
4Tisza
65.5%
5Tisza
44.0%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tisza wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 93% | NO: 8%
$459,071 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 12, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 93% probability has been shaped by $459,071 in trading activity.
This is a multi-outcome market with 5 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Tisza will win, you can buy YES shares at 92.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 8% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.