All Outcomes
37 candidates1TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA)
61.5%
2Fidesz – Hungarian Civic Alliance (Fidesz)
38.0%
3the Momentum Movement (Momentum)
0.1%
4Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk)
0.1%
5the Democratic Coalition (DK)
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 62% | NO: 39%
$930,883 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 12, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 62% probability has been shaped by $930,883 in trading activity.
This is a multi-outcome market with 37 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) will win, you can buy YES shares at 61.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 63% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.