All Outcomes
2 candidates1Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026
2.5%
2Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026
0.6%
Volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$123,786
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 2% | NO: 98%
$1.4M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
May 14, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 2% probability has been shaped by $1.4M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $1.4M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 2 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 2.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 3982% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.