All Outcomes
3 candidates1Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by Decembe
54.0%
2Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30
19.5%
Volume
$1.0M
Liquidity
$38,430
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 54% | NO: 46%
$1.0M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 30, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 54% probability has been shaped by $1.0M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $1.0M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 3 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by Decembe will win, you can buy YES shares at 54.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 85% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.