The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45-60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the People’s Party (PPLE) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the People’s Party (PPLE), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 76% | NO: 24%
$1.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 8, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 76% probability has been shaped by $1.2M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $1.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 6 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think the People’s Party (PPLE) will win, you can buy YES shares at 75.9¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 32% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.