Top World Markets
Sorted by volume1
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
128 outcomesVol: $718.9M·Ends: Nov 7, 2028
26%
Gavin Newsom
2
US strikes Iran by...?
65 outcomesVol: $426.7M·Ends: Jun 30, 2026
75%
December 31
3
Presidential Election Winner 2028
128 outcomesVol: $333.0M·Ends: Nov 7, 2028
23%
JD Vance
4
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
128 outcomesVol: $330.3M·Ends: Nov 7, 2028
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
60 outcomesVol: $204.2M·Ends: Jul 20, 2026
15%
Spain
6
US next strikes Iran on...?
30 outcomesVol: $46.9M·Ends: Feb 28, 2026
91%
No strike by February 28
7
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
26 outcomesVol: $23.6M·Ends: Apr 12, 2026
62%
the next Prime Minister of Hungary
8
Brazil Presidential Election
32 outcomesVol: $21.2M·Ends: Oct 4, 2026
50%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Vol: $19.9M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
3%
YES
10
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
29 outcomesVol: $17.2M·Ends: Dec 31, 2026
76%
December 31
11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Vol: $16.7M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
18%
YES
12
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
4 outcomesVol: $13.7M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
11%
December 31
13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Vol: $12.4M·Ends: Feb 28, 2026
1%
YES
14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Vol: $10.5M·Ends: Dec 31, 2026
37%
YES
15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Vol: $9.4M·Ends: Dec 31, 2026
10%
YES
16
Next French Presidential Election
128 outcomesVol: $9.3M·Ends: Apr 30, 2027
30%
Jordan Bardella
17
US next strikes Iran on...?
33 outcomesVol: $8.9M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
40%
No strike by March 31
18
Starmer out by...?
5 outcomesVol: $8.4M·Ends: Dec 31, 2025
64%
December 31
19
Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?
6 outcomesVol: $7.5M·Ends: Jan 9, 2026
19%
December 31
20
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Vol: $6.5M·Ends: Dec 31, 2026
8%
YES
21
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
71 outcomesVol: $6.1M·Ends: Oct 10, 2026
10%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
22
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Vol: $6.0M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
10%
YES
23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Vol: $5.9M·Ends: Jun 30, 2026
33%
YES
24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Vol: $5.9M·Ends: Feb 28, 2026
0%
YES
25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
11 outcomesVol: $5.2M·Ends: Dec 31, 2025
89%
December 31, 2026
26
Colombia Presidential Election
28 outcomesVol: $5.1M·Ends: Jun 21, 2026
50%
Candidate M
27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Vol: $4.9M·Ends: Dec 31, 2026
36%
YES
28
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
10 outcomesVol: $4.6M·Ends: Feb 28, 2026
100%
March 31
29
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
7 outcomesVol: $3.9M·Ends: Jun 30, 2026
19%
June 30
30
Pro Baseball World Series Champion 2026
31 outcomesVol: $3.6M·Ends: Oct 31, 2026
27%
the Los Angeles Dodgers
31
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
28 outcomesVol: $3.5M·Ends: Feb 28, 2026
100%
February 4
32
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
2 outcomesVol: $3.5M·Ends: Dec 31, 2025
5%
June 30, 2026
33
Which party will win the House in 2026?
9 outcomesVol: $3.4M·Ends: Nov 3, 2026
86%
Democratic Party
34
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Vol: $3.3M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
1%
YES
35
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
28 outcomesVol: $3.3M·Ends: Feb 28, 2026
100%
February 16
36
Paris Mayoral Election
48 outcomesVol: $3.2M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
60%
Emmanuel Grégoire
37
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Vol: $2.8M·Ends: Dec 31, 2026
48%
YES
38
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
66 outcomesVol: $2.7M·Ends: Jun 3, 2026
79%
Chong Won-oh
39
Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
33 outcomesVol: $2.5M·Ends: Jan 25, 2026
86%
Lê Minh Hưng
40
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
7 outcomesVol: $2.5M·Ends: Dec 31, 2025
28%
June 30
41
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Vol: $2.4M·Ends: Dec 31, 2026
11%
YES
42
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
Vol: $2.4M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
3%
YES
43
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
3 outcomesVol: $2.3M·Ends: Dec 31, 2026
17%
December 31, 2026
44
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
Vol: $2.2M·Ends: Mar 31, 2026
1%
YES
45
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
5 outcomesVol: $2.1M·Ends: Jan 31, 2026
15%
December 31
46
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
34 outcomesVol: $2.0M·Ends: Sep 30, 2026
74%
United Russia (ER)
47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Vol: $2.0M·Ends: Jun 30, 2026
14%
YES
48
Ukraine election held by...?
3 outcomesVol: $1.9M·Ends: Dec 31, 2025
25%
December 31, 2026
49
Russian strike on Poland by...?
3 outcomesVol: $1.9M·Ends: Dec 31, 2025
3%
June 30, 2026
50
Macron out by...?
3 outcomesVol: $1.8M·Ends: Jun 30, 2026
4%
June 30, 2026
Track World Flow
Get real-time alerts for whale trades and price movements in world markets.
View Full Flow DashboardAbout World Prediction Markets
World prediction markets on Polymarket allow traders to speculate on the outcomes ofworld events using real money. With 126 active markets and$2.4B in total trading volume, the world category is one of the most active on the platform.
Each market consists of YES and NO shares that trade between $0.01 and $0.99. The price represents the market's collective probability estimate for the event occurring. For example, a YES price of $0.75 indicates a 75% probability according to market participants.
Insider Trade Flow tracks whale activity (trades over $10,000) and smart money flow across allworld markets, helping traders identify where large investors are positioning themselves.