All Outcomes
49 candidates1Rafael López Aliaga
48.0%
2Alfonso López Chau
16.9%
3Keiko Fujimori
14.0%
4Carlos Álvarez
5.5%
5Roberto Sánchez Palomino
3.5%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Elections Jury of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones) (portal.jne.gob.pe/portal).
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 48% | NO: 52%
$857,229 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 12, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 48% probability has been shaped by $857,229 in trading activity.
This is a multi-outcome market with 49 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Rafael López Aliaga will win, you can buy YES shares at 48.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 108% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.