All Outcomes
23 candidates1Iván Cepeda Castro
87.0%
2Abelardo de la Espriella
7.9%
3Paloma Valencia
3.5%
4Sergio Fajardo
0.4%
5Mauricio Cárdenas
0.4%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 87% | NO: 13%
$2.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
May 31, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 87% probability has been shaped by $2.2M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $2.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 23 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Iván Cepeda Castro will win, you can buy YES shares at 87.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 15% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.