All Outcomes
66 candidates1Chong Won-oh
77.0%
2Oh Se-hoon
13.5%
3Park Ju-min
3.9%
4Ahn Cheol-soo
3.5%
5Na Kyung-won
1.9%
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 77% | NO: 23%
$2.7M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 3, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 77% probability has been shaped by $2.7M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $2.7M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 66 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Chong Won-oh will win, you can buy YES shares at 77.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 30% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.