YES
4.0%
$0.04 per share
NO
96.0%
$0.96 per share
Volume
$772,050
Liquidity
$76,742
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 4% | NO: 96%
$772,050 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 30, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $772,050 in trading volume with $76,742 in liquidity. The 4% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.04, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 2369% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.96, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 4% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 4%, there may be a trading opportunity.