YES
3.3%
$0.03 per share
NO
96.7%
$0.97 per share
Volume
$4.5M
Liquidity
$265,797
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 3% | NO: 97%
$4.5M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 30, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $4.5M in trading volume with $265,797 in liquidity. The 3% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $4.5M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.03, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 2930% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.97, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 3% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 3%, there may be a trading opportunity.