All Outcomes
4 candidates1the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026
10.5%
2the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026
2.5%
Volume
$13.7M
Liquidity
$56,871
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 11% | NO: 90%
$13.7M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 274,225 trades. The current price of 11¢ implies a 11% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $13.7M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 4 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 10.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 852% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.